Case Study Overview The goal of the Aggregative Contingent Estimation Program, sponsored by the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity, is to enhance the accuracy, precision and timeliness of forecasts for a broad range of global events. The program develops advanced techniques to gather, weight and combine the judgments of people from many backgrounds and fields […]
Case Study Overview Photovoltaics convert solar energy into direct current. You can understand the photovoltaic market in the United States by estimating the installed capacity (or maximum possible amount) of photovoltaic energy. It’s also important to understand how the prices of hardware and soft costs (including installation costs) related to photovoltaics change over time. The Open […]
Case Study Overview The human brain has roughly 80 billion neurons connected with millions of miles of axons and dendrites. So it’s no surprise that neuroscientists are only just starting to understand how the brain is wired. Neurons are miniscule, so researchers are utilizing a new imaging technique to map their connectivity. Even so, it […]
Case Study Overview In 1997, following an evening of intense rainfall in parts of Fort Collins, Colorado, an ankle-deep creek running through Colorado State University became a raging river of mud and debris. The Spring Creek Flood left five people dead and city-wide damages of more than $200 million — all for lack of warning. […]
Case Study Overview Are tropical cyclones (what we in the Americas call hurricanes) becoming stronger? How is their intensity changing in a changing world? Unfortunately, these are questions science can’t answer with much certainty right now. Hurricanes can have catastrophic and long-lasting impacts on coastal regions around the world. Hurricanes are classified by maximum wind […]